Systems & Decision-Making

The Role of Regret in Decision-Making (And How to Handle It)

Regret is one of the most powerful forces shaping how people make decisions — often without realising it. Here's how to use it constructively rather than letting it distort your thinking.

Lurnable Editorial · For students, parents, schools · 6 min read

Regret — the painful emotion that follows a decision that did not work out — has a profound influence on future decision-making. It shapes risk tolerance, commitment depth, and even which options are considered. Understanding how regret operates — and using it constructively rather than being driven by it unconsciously — is one of the most sophisticated decision intelligence skills a young person can develop.

How Anticipated Regret Shapes Decisions

Research in decision psychology shows that people often make decisions based on which option will produce the least regret if it goes wrong — rather than which option has the highest expected value. This 'anticipated regret' can be a useful guide (it highlights decisions that feel genuinely important) or a distorting influence (it causes excessive risk-aversion or over-investment in 'safe' choices that carry their own costs). Understanding when regret is guiding well versus guiding poorly is essential for quality decision-making.

The Regret Minimisation Test

A useful exercise developed in decision research: project yourself to age 80 and look back at the decision you are making now. Which choice would you regret more not having taken — the bolder or the safer one? This test tends to favour action and risk-taking over inaction, because research consistently shows that people regret inactions and missed opportunities more than actions that did not work out. The losses from failing to try typically loom larger in retrospect than the losses from trying and failing.

People almost universally regret more what they did not do than what they did. This does not mean all risks are worth taking — it means that the cost of not trying is almost always higher than it feels in the moment of decision.

Processing Regret When It Arrives

When regret about a past decision arrives, the most constructive response is not to deny it (which prevents learning) or to dwell in it (which prevents forward movement), but to extract its information. What does this regret tell you about what you value that you did not yet fully know when you made the decision? What does it reveal about what you will prioritise differently in future decisions? Regret as a learning tool is genuinely valuable; regret as a perpetual emotional state is not.

Decision Intelligence is the structured process Lurnable uses to help students move from confusion to clarity. Learn more at the Decision Intelligence hub — covering PRISM™ self-discovery, the DECIDE Framework™, and what it means to work with a Chartered Decision Intelligence Advisor.

Key Takeaways

  • Anticipated regret shapes decisions — often unconsciously, sometimes helpfully, sometimes distortingly
  • The regret minimisation test (imagine age 80 looking back) tends to favour action over inaction
  • People consistently regret missed opportunities more than failed attempts
  • Regret, when it arrives, is most useful as a source of information about values — not as a perpetual emotional state

Frequently Asked Questions

How do I stop letting fear of regret make me completely risk-averse?

Recognise that inaction carries its own regret — often a larger one than the regret from a failed attempt. Create a simple forward projection: 'If this doesn't work, what can I do next?' The answer is almost always 'More than I think.' Seeing a path through even a bad outcome reduces the disproportionate weight that fear of regret places on risk-avoidance.